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USDA Weekly Crop Progress     11/21  

Today's publication is the last weekly Crop Progress report issued for the 
2016 season. The first weekly report for 2017 will be released on Monday, 
April 3, 2017.

Crop Progress

ISSN: 1948-3007

Released November 28, 2016, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service 
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of 
Agriculture (USDA).

Special Note

COMING SOON - NASS's annual December surveys on crops and 
livestock. During the first two weeks of December, NASS will 
survey approximately 90,000 United States producers. One of 
USDA's largest survey efforts, the responses will provide the 
final information about the 2016 U.S. row crops focusing on 
harvested acreage, production, and storage. The survey will also 
be used to help establish county level estimates used by the Farm 
Service Agency for the Agriculture Risk Coverage (ARC) program 
and the Risk Management Agency to administer insurance programs. 
In addition, hog producers will be asked about their current 
inventory, pig crop, and farrowing intentions for the next six 
months. With both data collection and data release taking place 
over a span of only four weeks, the results will be available 
beginning with the Hogs and Pigs report on December 23, followed 
by the Annual Crop Production Summary and other reports on 
January 12. County level row crop estimates will be released 
later in 2017. Farmers should watch for their survey and be sure 
to respond. Your information matters!

Cotton Harvested - Selected States
[These 15 States harvested 98% of the 2015 cotton acreage]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :               Week ending               :             
                :-----------------------------------------:             
      State     :November 27, :November 20, :November 27, :  2011-2015  
                :    2015     :    2016     :    2016     :   Average   
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :                        percent                        
                :                                                       
Alabama ........:      84            90            94            89     
Arizona ........:      74            65            72            69     
Arkansas .......:     100           100           100           100     
California .....:     100            80            90            98     
Georgia ........:      71            87            93            80     
Kansas .........:      67            54            69            74     
Louisiana ......:     100           100           100           100     
Mississippi ....:      98           100           100            99     
Missouri .......:      95           100           100            93     
North Carolina .:      81            79            84            87     
Oklahoma .......:      74            65            72            72     
South Carolina .:      62            77            86            81     
Tennessee ......:      94            97           100            91     
Texas ..........:      71            47            62            76     
Virginia .......:      93            94            96            93     
                :                                                       
15 States ......:      77            67            77            84     
------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sorghum Harvested - Selected States
[These 11 States harvested 98% of the 2015 sorghum acreage]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :               Week ending               :             
                :-----------------------------------------:             
      State     :November 27, :November 20, :November 27, :  2011-2015  
                :    2015     :    2016     :    2016     :   Average   
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :                        percent                        
                :                                                       
Arkansas .......:     100           100           100           100     
Colorado .......:      98            98            99            95     
Illinois .......:     100            92            95            99     
Kansas .........:      96            95            97            97     
Louisiana ......:     100           100           100           100     
Missouri .......:      95            95           100            97     
Nebraska .......:      96            98           100            99     
New Mexico .....:      89            52            54            77     
Oklahoma .......:      96            95            96            93     
South Dakota ...:      96            99           100            98     
Texas ..........:      96            91            94            94     
                :                                                       
11 States ......:      97            94            96            96     
------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunflowers Harvested - Selected States
[These 4 States harvested 84% of the 2015 sunflower acreage]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :               Week ending               :             
                :-----------------------------------------:             
      State     :November 27, :November 20, :November 27, :  2011-2015  
                :    2015     :    2016     :    2016     :   Average   
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :                        percent                        
                :                                                       
Colorado .......:     93            92            97            96      
Kansas .........:     94            89            95            94      
North Dakota ...:     99            92            97            94      
South Dakota ...:     99            97            99            95      
                :                                                       
4 States .......:     98            94            98            94      
------------------------------------------------------------------------

Winter Wheat Emerged - Selected States
[These 18 States planted 90% of the 2015 winter wheat acreage]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :               Week ending               :             
                :-----------------------------------------:             
      State     :November 27, :November 20, :November 27, :  2011-2015  
                :    2015     :    2016     :    2016     :   Average   
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :                        percent                        
                :                                                       
Arkansas .......:      84           82             87           90      
California .....:      66           71             81           60      
Colorado .......:     100           97             99           99      
Idaho ..........:      94           93             97           98      
Illinois .......:      99           90             96           96      
Indiana ........:      99           92             95           96      
Kansas .........:      98           94             96           98      
Michigan .......:     100           90             92           98      
Missouri .......:      94           76             84           86      
Montana ........:      98           94             95           91      
Nebraska .......:     100           99            100           99      
North Carolina .:      54           50             59           59      
Ohio ...........:     100           91             96           96      
Oklahoma .......:      96           92             96           96      
Oregon .........:      78           75             83           88      
South Dakota ...:     100           99            100           93      
Texas ..........:      78           79             80           81      
Washington .....:      86           91             94           95      
                :                                                       
18 States ......:      92           89             92           92      
------------------------------------------------------------------------

Winter Wheat Condition - Selected States: Week Ending November 27, 2016
[National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2015
planted acreage]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
      State     : Very poor :   Poor    :   Fair    :   Good    : Excellent 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :                          percent                          
                :                                                           
Arkansas .......:     5          10          35          40          10     
California .....:     -           -           -          25          75     
Colorado .......:     3          12          38          41           6     
Idaho ..........:     -           -          22          55          23     
Illinois .......:     3           2          25          56          14     
Indiana ........:     2           4          26          53          15     
Kansas .........:     3          10          35          45           7     
Michigan .......:     2           3          27          52          16     
Missouri .......:     3           6          33          51           7     
Montana ........:     -           2          21          49          28     
Nebraska .......:     2          11          34          48           5     
North Carolina .:     1          12          29          56           2     
Ohio ...........:     -           1          12          61          26     
Oklahoma .......:     3           9          35          46           7     
Oregon .........:     1           3          14          65          17     
South Dakota ...:     1           8          40          46           5     
Texas ..........:     4          12          43          34           7     
Washington .....:     -           1           8          74          17     
                :                                                           
18 States ......:     2           8          32          47          11     
                :                                                           
Previous week ..:     2           8          32          47          11     
Previous year ..:     2           7          36          44          11     
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-  Represents zero.                                                         

Days Suitable for Fieldwork - Selected States
[Days suitable for Fieldwork are weighted based on
cropland acreage]
-----------------------------------------------------------
                 :               Week ending               
                 :-----------------------------------------
      State      :November 27, :November 20, :November 27, 
                 :    2015     :    2016     :    2016     
-----------------------------------------------------------
                 :                  Days                   
                 :                                         
Alabama .........:     5.9           7.0           6.8     
Arizona .........:     7.0           7.0           7.0     
Arkansas ........:     1.6           6.4           4.9     
California ......:     6.4           5.7           5.2     
Colorado ........:     3.8           6.0           5.8     
Connecticut .....:     6.1           6.0           6.0     
Delaware ........:     6.5           7.0           7.0     
Florida .........:     6.4           6.7           6.8     
Georgia .........:     6.2           6.7           6.8     
Idaho ...........:     1.3           4.5           3.9     
Illinois ........:     1.9           6.3           4.1     
Indiana .........:     3.7           6.0           4.8     
Iowa ............:     1.6           6.3           4.7     
Kansas ..........:     2.8           6.7           6.4     
Kentucky ........:     4.0           6.5           5.9     
Louisiana .......:     3.9           6.7           5.9     
Maine ...........:     6.0           5.0           4.5     
Maryland ........:     5.5           6.5           7.0     
Massachusetts ...:     6.1           6.0           5.1     
Michigan ........:     3.1           5.7           4.1     
Minnesota .......:     2.5           4.7           2.4     
Mississippi .....:     3.3           5.9           5.7     
Missouri ........:     2.0           6.8           5.4     
Montana .........:     1.5           5.4           6.4     
Nebraska ........:     3.6           5.7           5.2     
Nevada ..........:     7.0           6.9           5.0     
New Hampshire ...:     6.2           5.5           4.7     
New Jersey ......:     6.0           6.0           7.0     
New Mexico ......:     5.9           6.4           6.5     
New York ........:     5.0           6.0           2.0     
North Carolina ..:     5.1           6.3           6.8     
North Dakota ....:     5.2           6.1           5.8     
Ohio ............:     4.5           6.1           5.4     
Oklahoma ........:     3.4           6.2           6.4     
Oregon ..........:     3.3           4.8           4.7     
Pennsylvania ....:     5.0           6.0           5.5     
Rhode Island ....:     6.0           6.0           6.0     
South Carolina ..:     5.3           6.8           6.8     
South Dakota ....:     4.9           4.8           4.9     
Tennessee .......:     4.4           6.6           6.5     
Texas ...........:     3.7           5.9           6.1     
Utah ............:     4.4           6.4           5.6     
Vermont .........:     3.7           5.0           3.2     
Virginia ........:     5.7           6.6           7.0     
Washington ......:     2.9           4.5           2.9     
West Virginia ...:     5.3           6.0           6.0     
Wisconsin .......:     3.4           6.4           4.8     
Wyoming .........:     1.8           4.9           5.5     
-----------------------------------------------------------

Topsoil Moisture Condition - Selected States: Week Ending
November 27, 2016
[National topsoil moisture conditions for selected States are
weighted based on cropland acreage]
----------------------------------------------------------------
      State     :Very short :   Short   : Adequate  :  Surplus  
----------------------------------------------------------------
                :                    percent                    
                :                                               
Alabama ........:    92           8           -           -     
Arizona ........:     2          28          66           4     
Arkansas .......:    19          28          52           1     
California .....:    30          35          30           5     
Colorado .......:    21          39          39           1     
Connecticut ....:    55          30          15           -     
Delaware .......:     2          31          58           9     
Florida ........:    35          24          40           1     
Georgia ........:    75          23           2           -     
Idaho ..........:     -           5          84          11     
Illinois .......:     1           8          82           9     
Indiana ........:     3          18          69          10     
Iowa ...........:     2           9          84           5     
Kansas .........:    14          31          53           2     
Kentucky .......:    35          41          24           -     
Louisiana ......:    31          43          26           -     
Maine ..........:     4          30          53          13     
Maryland .......:     4          22          63          11     
Massachusetts ..:     5          41          54           -     
Michigan .......:     -           2          70          28     
Minnesota ......:     -           1          75          24     
Mississippi ....:    41          35          23           1     
Missouri .......:     6          23          70           1     
Montana ........:     9          19          62          10     
Nebraska .......:    11          30          57           2     
Nevada .........:    25          25          50           -     
New Hampshire ..:    20          46          34           -     
New Jersey .....:     9          27          58           6     
New Mexico .....:    12          55          31           2     
New York .......:     8          16          57          19     
North Carolina .:    17          26          51           6     
North Dakota ...:     3          15          71          11     
Ohio ...........:     4          25          66           5     
Oklahoma .......:    16          39          44           1     
Oregon .........:     3          16          68          13     
Pennsylvania ...:    13          25          55           7     
Rhode Island ...:     -          26          74           -     
South Carolina .:    15          42          40           3     
South Dakota ...:    10          24          63           3     
Tennessee ......:    50          31          19           -     
Texas ..........:    10          31          53           6     
Utah ...........:     3          24          67           6     
Vermont ........:     -           6          71          23     
Virginia .......:    29          37          33           1     
Washington .....:     -           -          77          23     
West Virginia ..:    17          38          41           4     
Wisconsin ......:     -           3          81          16     
Wyoming ........:    22          28          35          15     
                :                                               
48 States ......:    11          21          61           7     
                :                                               
Previous week ..:    12          22          60           6     
Previous year ..:     4          14          67          15     
----------------------------------------------------------------
-  Represents zero.                                             

Subsoil Moisture Condition - Selected States: Week Ending
November 27, 2016
[National subsoil moisture conditions for selected States are
weighted based on cropland acreage]
----------------------------------------------------------------
      State     :Very short :   Short   : Adequate  :  Surplus  
----------------------------------------------------------------
                :                    percent                    
                :                                               
Alabama ........:    89          11           -           -     
Arizona ........:    14          12          72           2     
Arkansas .......:    25          39          35           1     
California .....:    20          45          30           5     
Colorado .......:    18          41          41           -     
Connecticut ....:    35          55          10           -     
Delaware .......:     2          13          66          19     
Florida ........:    30          23          45           2     
Georgia ........:    68          25           7           -     
Idaho ..........:     -          12          82           6     
Illinois .......:     1           9          86           4     
Indiana ........:     4          17          74           5     
Iowa ...........:     2           8          83           7     
Kansas .........:     8          27          64           1     
Kentucky .......:    34          41          25           -     
Louisiana ......:    27          43          30           -     
Maine ..........:     5          39          55           1     
Maryland .......:     3          19          68          10     
Massachusetts ..:    41          49          10           -     
Michigan .......:     -           3          73          24     
Minnesota ......:     -           2          78          20     
Mississippi ....:    40          39          20           1     
Missouri .......:     4          21          72           3     
Montana ........:    10          24          57           9     
Nebraska .......:    11          31          57           1     
Nevada .........:    30          30          40           -     
New Hampshire ..:    35          48          17           -     
New Jersey .....:    11          24          51          14     
New Mexico .....:    11          36          52           1     
New York .......:     9          25          54          12     
North Carolina .:    10          25          57           8     
North Dakota ...:     4          16          69          11     
Ohio ...........:     9          24          64           3     
Oklahoma .......:    10          34          55           1     
Oregon .........:     5          27          62           6     
Pennsylvania ...:    12          35          46           7     
Rhode Island ...:    35          45          20           -     
South Carolina .:    11          38          46           5     
South Dakota ...:    10          28          61           1     
Tennessee ......:    50          30          20           -     
Texas ..........:     7          32          57           4     
Utah ...........:    10          20          68           2     
Vermont ........:     -          13          87           -     
Virginia .......:    18          32          49           1     
Washington .....:     -           2          90           8     
West Virginia ..:    14          36          47           3     
Wisconsin ......:     -           2          83          15     
Wyoming ........:    18          32          40          10     
                :                                               
48 States ......:    10          22          62           6     
                :                                               
Previous week ..:    10          23          61           6     
Previous year ..:     6          19          65          10     
----------------------------------------------------------------
-  Represents zero.                                             

Crop Progress and Condition Tables Expected Next Week

Today's publication is the last weekly Crop Progress report issued for the 
2016 season. The first weekly report for 2017 will be released on Monday, 
April 3, 2017.

Statistical Methodology

Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey 
data collected each week from early April through the end of November. The 
non-probability crop progress and condition surveys include input from 
approximately 4,000 respondents whose occupations provide them opportunities 
to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers 
in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these respondents 
subjectively estimate the progress of crops through various stages of 
development, as well as the progress of producer activities. They also 
provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions.

Most respondents complete their questionnaires on Friday or early Monday 
morning and submit them to the National Agricultural Statistics Service 
(NASS) Field Offices in their States by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or 
through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed 
on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of when questionnaires are 
completed, respondents are asked to report for the entire week ending on 
Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of 
uncertainty is introduced by projections for weekend changes in progress and 
condition. By the end of the 2015 season, over 90 percent of the data were 
being submitted through the internet website. As a result, the majority of 
all data are submitted on Monday morning, significantly reducing projection 
uncertainty.

Respondents are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each 
season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and 
definitions of crop stages and condition categories used as reporting 
guidelines are available on the NASS website at 
www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/National_Crop_Progress.

Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and 
consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data 
reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Field Offices 
summarize the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each 
county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized 
indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are 
compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure 
reasonableness. Weather events and respondent comments are also taken into 
consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics 
Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with 
surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting 
each State by its acreage estimates.
 
Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the Crop Progress report 
are released after 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These 
estimates are subject to revision the following week.

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the 
National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional 
information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov

Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch........................ (202) 720-2127

Anthony Prillaman, Head, Field Crops Section............ (202) 720-2127
     Bianca Pruneda - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum.. (202) 720-5944
     Tony Dahlman - Oats, Soybeans...................... (202) 690-3234
     Chris Hawthorn - Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet...... (202) 720-9526
     James Johanson - County Estimates, Hay............. (202) 690-8533
     Scott Matthews - Crop Weather, Barley.............. (202) 720-7621
     Jean Porter - Rye, Wheat........................... (202) 720-8068
     Sammy Neal- Peanuts, Rice.......................... (202) 720-7688
     Travis Thorson - Sunflower, Other Oilseeds......... (202) 720-7369

Access to NASS Reports

For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following 
ways:

 All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web 
site: www.nass.usda.gov

 Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e-
mail subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit 
www.nass.usda.gov and click on "National" or "State" in upper right 
corner above "search" box to create an account and select the reports 
you would like to receive.

For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural 
Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: 
nass@nass.usda.gov. 
  
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination against 
its customers, employees, and applicants for employment on the basis of race, 
color, national origin, age, disability, sex, gender identity, religion, 
reprisal, and where applicable, political beliefs, marital status, familial 
or parental status, sexual orientation, or all or part of an individual's 
income is derived from any public assistance program, or protected genetic 
information in employment or in any program or activity conducted or funded 
by the Department. (Not all prohibited bases will apply to all programs 
and/or employment activities.) 
If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination, 
complete the USDA Program Discrimination Complaint Form (PDF), found online 
at http://www.ascr.usda.gov/complaint_filing_cust.html, or at any USDA 
office, or call (866) 632-9992 to request the form. You may also write a 
letter containing all of the information requested in the form. Send your 
completed complaint form or letter to us by mail at U.S. Department of 
Agriculture, Director, Office of Adjudication, 1400 Independence Avenue, 
S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, by fax (202) 690-7442 or email at 
program.intake@usda.gov.





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